
Since the late 1700s, there have been
five great waves of economic and technological development, each lasting about
half a century. Each one produced a surge of new products, new employment,
whole industries, and strong economic growth. They also resulted in the
development of new means for transporting energy, information, goods, and
people more rapidly, inexpensively, and across farther distances than ever
before.
These five “60-year cycles of capital”
are typically referred to as the Kondratieff Waves, named after Russian
theorist Nikolai Kondratieff, who first identified them. Kondratieff observed
that capitalist economies move through recurring cycles of boom and bust.
Austrian-American economist Joseph Schumpeter later coined the term “creative
destruction” to describe the necessary contractions and expansions within these
cycles that result in long-term growth.
Perhaps nowhere are the cycles explained
and analyzed better than in the book Technological Revolutions and Financial
Capital: The Dynamics of Bubbles and Golden Ages,1by economic historian Carlota Perez, a senior research
fellow at Cambridge University.
The first wave, the Industrial
Revolution, began in 1771, introducing the age of great factories and
mechanization. During this wave, canals became a newly efficient means of
transportation.
The second wave, beginning around
1829, took place in England when the coal-powered steam engine was perfected
and railways were introduced.
Heavy engineering ushered in the third
wave starting in the 1870s. The fields of mechanical and civil engineering
experienced rapid expansion. The introduction of cheap steel, produced by the
Bessemer process, led to the development of trans-continental railroads, fast
trans-oceanic steamships, and the construction of tunnels and bridges that were
previously unthinkable.
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This was also the period when the
telegraph came into widespread use. It was also the first time globalization
was introduced as a model for commerce. International trade was typified by
Argentina, Australia, and others in the Southern Hemisphere selling meat to
northern markets using refrigerated ships.