
The Bureau of Labor Statistics recently
reported that “nonfarm business sector labor productivity increased at a 6.6
percent annualized rate during the second quarter of 2009.”1 In fact, it was the largest increase in
productivity since the end of 2003.At that rate, output per
hour would double in just 10 years.
So, what’s behind this strong increase in
productivity?Because of the recession, there was a decline of
1.5 percent in output.However, this was coupled with a 7.6
percent drop in the number of hours worked. Therefore, labor costs for nonfarm businesses fell at a 5.9 percent rate.This decline
in labor costs was due entirely to the increase in productivity.
Remarkably, this is the first time in
history we’ve experienced productivity growth during every quarter of a
recession.Not only that, but even as the economy shrank by 3.8
percent in the fourth quarter of 2007, productivity rose 3.2 percent.Dale
Jorgenson, an expert on productivity at Harvard, calls this “a paradox.” More
to the point, The Wall Street Journal2refers to this state of affairs as “practically a miracle.”
So, what’s new?Efficiency
has been driven by many factors over the history of the nation.For
example, the introduction of mass production increased efficiency.But
it also produced millions of jobs.
In the same way, the spread of computers
initially increased both productivity and employment, even while it expanded
the overall size of the economy.But today, with IT having
spread to every industry, productivity is increasing while employment is
experiencing slower growth — or even shrinking.That’s because
technology is enabling businesses to run leaner than ever.So,
they don’t need to rush to hire back the people they’ve let go.
Furthermore, The Economist3 reports that recent job cuts may
be more permanent than in previous recessions, because they have been
approached differently by companies.There are two reasons for
this:
Firms have cut personnel at the
management level.
Instead of cutting across the board, they
have...