In October 2008, the
State of California released its official report on what’s known as The Global
Warming Solutions Act of 2006, which is intended to reduce greenhouse gases to
1990 levels by the year 2020.1 The report claims
that implementing this plan, far from costing money, will actually make money. It asserts, “the Plan will benefit California’s economy above and
beyond the business-as-usual projections, in 2020, by:
- Increasing
production activity by $33 billion
- Increasing
overall Gross State Product by $7 billion
- Increasing
overall personal income by $16 billion
- Increasing
per capita income by $200
- Increasing
jobs by more than 100,000
As a result of this
and many other public statements, the concept of “green jobs” has generated a great
deal of enthusiasm, particularly as the economy has suffered. The idea is that
cleaning up the environment and limiting pollutants can be made into a business
that employs people and contributes to our national and global “economic
well-being.” In fact, part of the new administration’s plan for economic
recovery involves stimulating industries that will be involved in this effort
with the aim of creating jobs.
But as Robert Murphy
pointed out in a recent column at TownHall.com,2outside experts came
down on California’s economic analysis with both feet. For example, the
Legislative Analyst’s Office of California called the economic evaluation
“inconsistent and incomplete” and said that there was no information in the
report to show how people were going to make money by cleaning up the
environment.3
Robert Stavins, the
Director of the Environmental Economics Program at Harvard University, who
formerly served as chairman of the Economic Environmental Advisory Committee of
the Environmental Protection Agency, called the analysis “terribly deficient in
critical ways.”
Similarly, the federal government’s green vision also...