ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

The Road Ahead for Housing

As far back as 2003, the Trends editors identified how faulty assumptions and perverse incentives were leading to a housing bubble. They correctly forecast the collapse, including the timing and magnitude of the bubble's burst. But, even the TRENDS Editors underestimated the fragility of the broader system and the consequent collateral damage caused by the bubble's collapse. Looking ahead, what can you expect? What are the risk factors? Most importantly, what does this mean for you? Keep listening to find out.

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How the Recession Is Preparing Us for the Future

Recessions, depressions, and collapsing bubbles are always painful. The winds of creative destruction sweep away the weak and leave the strong. In the wake of bankruptcies and down-sizings, assets and skills can be redeployed to create new wealth in a new cycle. Today, we are coming to the end of the downward cycle and getting ready for the redeployment. What can you do to benefit most from this crisis in the years just ahead? Keep listening to find out.

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It's Time for Evidence-Based Management

Never in history have we had access to more information, on a more timely basis. Yet, every new revelation about the financial crisis has us asking, "How could so many smart people consistently make such horrendously bad decisions?" Aside from a smattering of willful corruption, the answer is that all too many crucial decisions were based on untested but strongly held beliefs; what the decision-makers had done in the past; or uncritical "benchmarking" of what "yesterday's winners" had done.

As we rebuild from the rubble of this catastrophe, now is the time for managers to adopt an approach that will enable us to avoid similar mistakes going forward. The Trends editors argue that for the first time in history, the technology and motivations are in place to implement "evidence-based management." As we'll explain, this approach, growing out of best practices in the medical profession, can deliver a substantial competitive advantage to those who rigorously adopt it.

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Economic Outlook Archive
- Flawed Thinking and the Financial Meltdown
- Economic Uncertainty Continues in 2010 and 2011
- The Post-Agricultural World
- The Return of the Keynesians
- The Great 21st Century Water Opportunity
- The New Era in Global Consumption
- How Trickle-Up Innovation Will Change the World
- The Economic Crisis Unleashes Managerial Innovation
- Boomers Move into Their Golden Years
- Preventing the Great Depression Ahead
- Globalization: The Wellspring of Global Economic Growth
- Oil Prices and Their Implications
- Dealing with the "Simplifiers"
- The New Era of Global Risk Management
- The Newly Frugal American Consumer
- The Graying Planet Revisited
- The Flat Tax Cometh
- Addressing Global Economic Imbalances
- Bretton Woods II and the New Economic Order
- Death and Resurrection on Wall Street
- Mexico's Time Is Finally Coming
- The Dysfunctional American Family
- A Fatal Misconception
- Energy Crisis 2.0
- The "Lab on a Chip" Revolution
- The Psychological Recession
- Fast-Dying Industries
- Global Consolidation
- Gross National Happiness and National Priorities
- Don't Panic - the Best Is Yet to Come
- America's Foreign Investment Boom
- The Death of Mass Luxury?
- The Stagflation Illusion
- Firms Proactively Manage Demographic Risk
- Competitive Advantage Through Better Tacit Interactions
- Unbundled Business Models May Dramatically Enhance Economic Growth
- Recycling the Petrodollar Tsunami
- The End of Cheap Food?
- Good Bacteria Goes Mainstream
- Manufacturing Nanotech Wonders
- The New Automotive Paradigm
- China's Future Labor Market
- Generational Productivity and Spending Waves - the 2020 Vision
- Poverty in America Loses Its Meaning
- The Global Wealth Explosion
- The Long, Slow Road Back for Residential Real Estate
- Free Trade, Off-Shoring, and Immigration
- Pieces of the Quantum Computing Puzzle Materialize
- The Inevitable Confrontation with Iran
- Strong U.S. Employment Continues
- The Battery Revolution
- The Biofuels Offensive
- The Global Debt Machine Digests Another Crisis
- The Incredible Shrinking Deficit
- The Next Big Thing in Outer Space May Be Quite Small
- A.I. Is Forced to Accept Its Limitations
- Active Baby Boomers Set America's Economic Pace
- The Hydrogen Economy: Don't Give Up Hope
- The Era of Personalization, Customization, and Co-Production
- The Cashless Society
- A Car Next to Every Hut
- The Great "Stock Market Bubble" of China
- The Supposed Tragedy of American Consumption
- Digital Tailors Start Sewing Up the Custom Apparel Market
- Globalization is Strengthening America's Economic Dominance
- India & China Will Continue To Be At The Center Stage In The Globalization Drama
- Global Capitalism Will Remain The Only Mechanism Capable Of Bettering The Quality Of Life For The World's Poor
- Where There's A Will, There's A Way
- The Mass Upper Class
- The Graying Planet
- Less Work, More Output
- Closing The Skills Gap
- The New Entrepreneurial Generation
- Application Simulation Bridges the Gulf Between Business and I.T.
- Oil Sands: The Near-Term Strategic Energy Solution
- In 2007, the American Economy Revives While the Global Boom Accelerates
- The Quiet Boom in Solar Technology
- The Shifting Tide of Global Economic Power Towards China
- Artificial Hearts - The Beat Goes On
- Information Factories: The Backbone of a New Technology Era
- A Private Equity Bubble Is the Next Threat to Your Wealth
- Working in the 21st Century
- The Great 21st Century Boom
- Stocks Are Headed Higher in 2005
- You Can Safely Ignore Pundits Suffering from "Current Account Deficit Disorder"
- Methane Hydrate, Our Long-Term Energy Solution
- Kill All the Trial Lawyers
- The Anticipated Housing Plateau Is Here
- Inflation Is Still Not the Problem
- Understanding the Slide in Economic and Personal Freedom
- Oil Prices Are Poised on a Political "Knife's Edge"
- A New Nuclear Renaissance
- The Fifth Wave of the Information Revolution Has Begun
- The Informal Economy Is Becoming Significant
- Oil Speculators Finally Face Their Day of Reckoning
- Take This Job And Shove It
- Naked At The Office: The Age Of "Business Transparency" Is Upon Us
- The U.S. Economy Keeps on Booming
- The Home Remodeling Boom
- The World Is Swimming in Cash
- Global Cash Surplus Fuels U.S. Housing Bubble
- China Is Going on a Buying Spree
- Increasing Global Economic Policy Coordination
- The Looming China Crisis
- U.S. Household Debt and Savings Rates: Much Ado About Nothing
- Inflation Remains a Non-Issue
- Housing Boom Peaks Out, But No Collapse Yet
- The Patent Litigation Crisis
- The Growing Mountain of Corporate Cash
- Quashing the Identity Theft Epidemic
- The Job Shortage Turns into a Worker Shortage
- Japan Is Hot Again
- Mass Affluence
- The Long and Short of Oil Prices
- What Goes Down Must Come Up
- The War That Wasn't
- The Second Time Around
- They Retread Tires, Don't They?
- It's Time to Retire Retirement
- Elder-Care Becomes a Major Factor in the American Lifestyle
- Where the Jobs Will Be
- The Temp-Nation of America
- Outsourcing Will Become a Source of Strategic Advantage
- Off-Shoring the Back Office
- The 40-Hour Work Week Is Obsolete
- Irrational Pessimism Is Finally Lifting
- The Skills Gap Becomes a Chasm
Economic Outlook | Trends Magazine — www.trends-magazine.com



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Increasing Global Economic Policy Coordination
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The Informal Economy Is Becoming Significant
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The Hyper-Human Economy Is Coming
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The U.S. Economy Keeps on Booming
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The Emerging Tri-Polar World Economy
 
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